← Back to W² Advisory
Field Notes · Cross-Border · US Market Entry

What actually breaks when a European company enters the US

Not the strategy. The seams — and the operating debt you were already carrying at home.

On paper it is the easy move. Bigger market, a business culture that looks familiar, a playbook that already works, more or less the same language. Nobody writes a board paper saying the US will be hard.

It is one of the most underestimated operational challenges I have seen. And the gap is rarely strategic. It is behavioural, cultural, and structural.

First, a number worth being careful with

A figure gets quoted constantly in this context — that seventy per cent of transformations fail. I have used it myself. Most versions of it trace back to nothing you can check: a 1993 book whose authors called their own estimate unscientific,[2] a 2015 consultancy article with no method attached,[3] a column that multiplied the number by a spending forecast. A peer-reviewed review of the literature found no valid empirical basis for the figure at all.[4]

The version you can check is BCG’s, from 2020:[1] internal data on seventy companies plus a survey of 825 senior executives. Thirty per cent met or beat their target. Forty-four per cent created some value but missed. Twenty-six per cent delivered less than half of what they set out to.

OUTCOMES OF DIGITAL TRANSFORMATIONS · BCG, 2020 30% met or beat target 44% some value, missed target 26% under half of target value 70% fall short of objectives most of it is the 44%, not the 26%
Fig. 1 · Boston Consulting Group, 2020 — internal data on 70 companies plus 825 senior executives. The failure everyone quotes is the 26%. The one that actually costs you years is the 44%: value created, targets missed, nobody obviously at fault.

The interesting number is not the seventy. It is the forty-four. Most cross-border expansions do not blow up. They quietly underdeliver for years while everybody stays busy. That is far harder to see, and far harder to stop.

Five things I watch break

1. Customer expectations

US customers expect faster responses, clearer accountability and more proactive service. What counts as exceptional in Europe is often the baseline here. Companies find this out late, when the friction is already showing up in churn.

2. The size of the adaptation

Teams assume the model transfers with light adjustment. It rarely does. The US is not a plug-and-play extension of Europe, and it is not Canada either.

3. The talent premium

US operators cost more, and waiting to hire them is the expensive choice. Local expertise is not discretionary spend — it is operating infrastructure. The premium actually worth paying is for people who have worked across both cultures, not simply for people who are here.

4. Data fragmentation

Two countries become two truths quickly. Misaligned definitions, inconsistent controls, delayed remediation. It surfaces downstream in reporting, in risk, and in what the customer sees. This does not mean the head-office definition wins by default; that is its own failure mode.

5. Nobody owns the seams

Everyone touches cross-border integration. No one owns it. And the seams are exactly where execution breaks — the handoffs, the assumptions, the nine hours between San Francisco and Paris. Integration has to be designed. It does not happen because people are willing.

For scale-ups these show up precisely when growth accelerates, not before. Which is the worst possible timing.

A case where all five showed up at once

N26 entered the US in 2019 with a strong European product and real momentum. It reached roughly 500,000 US accounts.[5] On 18 November 2021 it announced it was leaving; US accounts closed on 11 January 2022.[6]

The public reason was a refocus on Europe. The more useful version is what co-CEO Max Tayenthal said afterwards: “We had to build the bank from scratch with different licenses, agreements, and payment rails.”[6] In Europe, N26 held a full banking licence. In the US it operated through a partnership with Axos Bank — less control, less differentiation, competing against Chime, which had thirteen million accounts.[5]

And the home market was not quiet. In September 2021 BaFin fined N26 €4.25 million for taking too long to file suspicious activity reports. Weeks later — in the same month the US exit was announced — the regulator capped new customer sign-ups at 70,000 a month, later tightened to 50,000, and installed a special commissioner over the bank’s anti-money-laundering controls. That cap was not lifted until June 2024.[7]

Whatever the US business needed, it was competing for executive attention against a regulator at home. That is the pattern worth taking away: the US did not create N26’s problems. It amplified the ones that were already there, and put a price on them.

GERMANY · BAFIN UNITED STATES Sept 2021 — €4.25m fine late suspicious-activity reports Nov 2021 — sign-ups capped at 70,000/month special commissioner installed over AML controls 1 June 2024 — cap lifted 2019 — US launch through Axos Bank; no US charter 18 Nov 2021 — US exit announced 11 Jan 2022 — US accounts closed c. 500,000 of them
Fig. 2 · Home market above the line, US below. Three of these events fall inside eight weeks: the growth cap, the special commissioner and the decision to leave. Sources 5–7.
The question is not “can we grow there.” It is “does the operating model have the strength to carry a second market, or will it bend under the weight?”

The part that is not in the operating model

One more thing, because it is the one people skip.

You can design the matrix, the federation, the hybrid. You can define decision rights, escalation paths, governance, dashboards and operating cadences. If the people across the two countries do not actually know each other, none of it works.

Cross-border performance runs on trust, and trust runs on human connection, which does not build well over video. So it has to be built on purpose: onsite weeks, rotations, shared rituals, periodic in-person alignment. On a budget line these read as perks. They are infrastructure.

Most cross-border friction is not conflict. It is misinterpretation — and the only fix for misinterpretation is knowing the person at the other end well enough to read what they did not say.

After more than a decade working for foreign firms in the US, I have seen every permutation of this. Organisational design does not fix weak relationships or power struggles. The operating model is the engine. The relationships are the oil.

What this means for operators

What this means if you have to run the place

Sources

On method. The five failure modes are drawn from first-hand work with European firms entering the US and with US subsidiaries of foreign firms, over eighteen years. They are observations, not survey findings, and are presented as such. Every external claim below is sourced; where a widely repeated figure could not be traced to a checkable study, it has been removed rather than repeated.

References

  1. Boston Consulting Group, Flipping the Odds of Digital Transformation Success (October 2020). Internal data on 70 companies plus a survey of 825 senior executives; 30% met or exceeded target value, 44% created some value but missed targets, 26% delivered under half of target value. — bcg.com/publications/2020/increasing-odds-of-success-in-digital-transformation
  2. Michael Hammer and James Champy, Reengineering the Corporation (HarperBusiness, 1993). Origin of the 50–70% range; the authors described their own estimate as unscientific, and Hammer later rejected the fixed-rate reading of it.
  3. Boris Ewenstein, Wesley Smith and Ashvin Sologar, “Changing change management,” McKinsey & Company (July 2015). States that 70% of change programmes fail to achieve their goals; no method, sample or source is published alongside the figure. — mckinsey.com/featured-insights/leadership/changing-change-management
  4. Mark Hughes, “Do 70 Per Cent of All Organizational Change Initiatives Really Fail?”, Journal of Change Management, vol. 11 no. 4 (2011), pp. 451–464. Reviews the published sources for the claim and finds no valid, reliable empirical evidence for the rate. — doi.org/10.1080/14697017.2011.630506
  5. “Why Neobank N26 Is Abandoning the U.S. Market (And 500,000 Customers),” The Financial Brand (November 2021). US launch in 2019; c. 500,000 US accounts against 7 million customers in 25 markets; US operations run through a partnership with Axos Bank; Chime at 13 million accounts. — thefinancialbrand.com/news/fintech-banking/why-neobank-n26-is-abandoning-the-u-s-banking-market-125544
  6. “German challenger bank N26 to shutter US operations,” Banking Dive (18 November 2021). Exit announced 18 November 2021, accounts closed 11 January 2022; source of the Max Tayenthal quotation. — bankingdive.com/news/german-challenger-bank-n26-to-shutter-us-operations/610285
  7. “N26 readies for a post-cap future,” Banking Dive (May 2024). BaFin’s €4.25m penalty of September 2021 for late suspicious-activity reports; the monthly onboarding cap of 70,000 new customers, later tightened to 50,000; the independent monitor over AML controls; the cap lifted 1 June 2024. — bankingdive.com/news/n26-bafin-growth-cap-aml-compliance-sar-stalf-tayenthal/717397
  8. N26, “Leaving the US — why, and what it means for N26” (18 November 2021). The company’s own account of the decision. — n26.com/en-eu/blog/leaving-the-us-why-and-what-it-means-for-n26

Is this the problem in front of you?

If a decision has been stuck for months and nobody inside can answer it without a stake in the answer, that is what the Operating Survey is for. Three weeks, one question, a written assessment — and I will tell you if the answer is to do nothing.

Start with an Operating Survey · $5,000 →